Weekly SP-500 Trend Commentary - 20130519

*** Status: Market Bullish – Sector Funds ***

Subscribe to our free newsletter here.  Bullish - Week 20

The Market higher again this week, with the SP-500 rising just over 2 percent for the week.. Sector Funds remain firmly at the top of the Rankings - especially Real Estate funds.  The general market trading filter I use (SP-500 53 day CCI) is now at +208 slightly up from from +196 last week indicating Market Up. The composite SP-500 indicators on the daily chart are  Bullish with the CCI(53) composite Bullish, and the MACD composite Bullish. The CCI indicators at the right give a good indication of the market indicating a bullish state for all the indices with bond funds in decline as indicated by IEF.

The Guppy Plot for the SP-500 Index is Bullish with the Fast Moving Averages above the Slow Moving Averages. The average slope of the Fast Moving Averages is positive  and the average slope of the Slow Moving Averages is positive. The ADX components remain Bullish and the Stoch is back up.

We’ll see what the next week brings. We don't try to forecast the market here, rather we just monitor the current conditions and react accordingly. I hope you find this blog helpful. If you do, why not leave a comment.

Rankings:

This week's Rankings continue to have sector funds firmly at the top of the Rankings. Ranking scores are color coded to indicate positive ranking scores (rate of change / volatility) in green, and negative ranking scores in red. Overall the list is sorted by overall rank but the score that makes up the rank can be positive or negative depending on the recent rate of change. The full list of the funds that are ranked can be found under the Funds tab. Current Rankings of the Funds can be found under the Rankings tab.

What Others are Saying (all free sites): Overall - Bullish

AAII Sentiment:  39% Bullish / 32% Neutral / 29% Bearish

InvestorsIntelligence: 54% Bullish / 20% Bearish

Barchart: SP500: 96% Buy

Barchart QQQ: 96% Buy

Bulkowski: Bullish (CPI= 92%)

Buy-Don't Hold: Buy (4)

Consensus Traders: 70% Bullish (SPY)

Consensus Traders: 69% Bullish (QQQ)

Keybot the Quant: Bullish

MTRInvestorsMarket Timing Model: Market Up

MyPlanIQTrend Score:15.03% (% SPY 11.03% last week) 

10DMA New High - New Low Ratio: Bullish (see Chris Perruna for explanation)

NasdaqNew High - New Low Cumulative:  Bullish  (see recent post)

NYSENew High - New Low Cumulative:  Bullish (see recent post)

USStock New High - New Low Cumulative:  Bullish  (see recent post)

SP-100:  Tradable  (see dshort.com)

SP-500Bullish Percent Index (Renko): Bullish

SP-500Weekly MACD: Bullish (see StockCharts)

Stadion: Green

Stock TA (SPY): Bullish

Stock TA (QQQ): Bullish

TimelySetup: Bullish

Wishing Wealth: Buy (Current Signal); QQQ Uptrend

TheWizard SP-500: Very Bullish (Long Term Signal)

TheWizardNasdaq: Very Bullish  (Long Term Signal)

dshort.com: Invested (monthly SP-500 10-EMA signal)

Click on Charts to Enlarge

SP-500 Daily Chart for May 19, 2013

SP-500 Daily Guppy Chart for May 19, 2013

Fidelity, Vanguard, Schwab, and Profunds Fund Rankings - 20130519

Subscribe to our newsletter if you want to see the entire Rankings (not just the top 5) for listings of Fidelity Select Funds, Vanguard ETFs, Schwab Funds, as well as other selections such as Fidelity Commission Free ETFs, TDAmeritrade Commission Free ETFs Schwab Commission Free ETFs, Highly Liquid ETFs, and more.

Note: Schwab's listing over over 100 Commission Free ETF's was just added to the weekly rankings found in the Newsletter.

Note we will only be publishing the top 5 listings on a weekly basis moving forward. If you'd like to see the complete listing, please subscribe to our Newsletter.

The Market continues the Bull move and Sector Funds, especially Real Estate Funds, are at the top of the Rankings.  If you subscribe to the Newsletter, we're now seeing a bit of a drop in bond funds - which is is a reversal from last week. Remember that even though a Fund is ranked in the Top 5, if it is colored red it is in a downtrend. Green coloring indicates positive rate of change over the past period, and red indicates negative rate of change. For the full list of funds that are ranked see our Funds listing.

Selected Fidelity Funds Rankings

Top Ranked Fidelity Funds for May 19, 2013

Selected Vanguard ETF Rankings

Top Ranked Vanguard ETFs for May 19, 2013

Selected Schwab & Profunds Funds Rankings

Top Ranked Schwab & Profunds Funds for May 19, 2013

Retirement Strategy Update 20130518

The bull market continues on for another week.  We see it reflected in major funds we watch seeing all sector funds bullish and all bond funds bearish.

Have you already subscribed to our newsletter? You can subscribe here if you wish.

One thing I've focused on is developing a strategy for my retirement funds. Ever since pulling my funds out of the market in late 2008, like many others I hesitatedt to reinvest - at least not without a plan. Two books that influenced my plans are The Ivy Portfolio and How a Second Grader Beats Wall Street. In general both of these books profess the use of broad index funds versus individual stock picking. The Ivy Portfolio adds a mechanism for market timing, such as the 10 month moving average and adjusting monthly. Dshort provides updates on The Ivy Portfolio strategy each month.

Below is a summary of retirement funds considered by mybestfunds.com with three different market timing strategies indicated: the average slope of the Guppy Slow moving averages, the CCI(53), and the 200 day simple moving average.

Retirement Strategy Update for May 19, 2013

Weekly SP-500 Trend Commentary - 20130512

*** Status: Market Bullish – Sector Funds ***

Subscribe to our free newsletter here.  Bullish - Week 19

The Market moved yet again higher, with the SP-500 rising 1.19% percent for the week.. Sector Funds remain firmly at the top of the Rankings - now for the most part out of the safe haven industries.  The general market trading filter I use (SP-500 53 day CCI) is now at +196 slightly up from from +190 last week indicating Market Up. The composite SP-500 indicators on the daily chart are just Bullish with the CCI(53) composite Bullish, and the MACD composite Bullish. The CCI indicators at the right give a good indication of the market indicating a bullish state for all the indices with bond funds in decline as indicated by IEF.

The Guppy Plot for the SP-500 Index is Bullish with the Fast Moving Averages above the Slow Moving Averages. The average slope of the Fast Moving Averages is positive  and the average slope of the Slow Moving Averages is positive. The ADX components remain Bullish and the Stoch is back up.

We’ll see what the next week brings. We don't try to forecast the market here, rather we just monitor the current conditions and react accordingly. I hope you find this blog helpful. If you do, why not leave a comment.

Rankings:

This week's Rankings continue to have sector funds at the top of the Rankings. Ranking scores are color coded to indicate positive ranking scores (rate of change / volatility) in green, and negative ranking scores in red. Overall the list is sorted by overall rank but the score that makes up the rank can be positive or negative depending on the recent rate of change. The full list of the funds that are ranked can be found under the Funds tab. Current Rankings of the Funds can be found under the Rankings tab.

What Others are Saying (all free sites): Overall - Bullish

AAII Sentiment:  41% Bullish / 32% Neutral / 27% Bearish

InvestorsIntelligence: 52% Bullish / 20% Bearish

Barchart: SP500: 96% Buy

Barchart QQQ: 96% Buy

Bulkowski: Bullish (CPI= 98%)

Buy-Don't Hold: Buy (4)

Consensus Traders: 73% Bullish (SPY)

Consensus Traders: 71% Bullish (QQQ)

Keybot the Quant: Bullish

MTRInvestorsMarket Timing Model: Market Up

MyPlanIQTrend Score:11.03% (% SPY 9.78% last week) 

10DMA New High - New Low Ratio: Bullish (see Chris Perruna for explanation)

NasdaqNew High - New Low Cumulative:  Bullish  (see recent post)

NYSENew High - New Low Cumulative:  Bullish (see recent post)

USStock New High - New Low Cumulative:  Bullish  (see recent post)

SP-100:  Tradable  (see dshort.com)

SP-500Bullish Percent Index (Renko): Bullish

SP-500Weekly MACD: Bullish (see StockCharts)

Stadion: Green

Stock TA (SPY): Bullish

Stock TA (QQQ): Neutral

TimelySetup: Bearish (4/26)

Wishing Wealth: Buy (Current Signal); QQQ Uptrend

TheWizard SP-500: Very Bullish (Long Term Signal)

TheWizardNasdaq: Very Bullish  (Long Term Signal)

dshort.com: Invested (monthly SP-500 10-EMA signal)

Click on Charts to Enlarge

SP-500 Daily Chart for May 12, 2013

SP-500 Daily Guppy Chart for May 12, 2013

Fidelity, Vanguard, Schwab, and Profunds Fund Rankings - 20130512

Subscribe to our newsletter if you want to see the entire Rankings (not just the top 5) for listings of Fidelity Select Funds, Vanguard ETFs, Schwab Funds, as well as other selections such as Fidelity Commission Free ETFs, TDAmeritrade Commission Free ETFs Schwab Commission Free ETFs, Highly Liquid ETFs, and more.

Note: Schwab's listing over over 100 Commission Free ETF's was just added to the weekly rankings found in the Newsletter.

Note we will only be publishing the top 5 listings on a weekly basis moving forward. If you'd like to see the complete listing, please subscribe to our Newsletter.

The Market continued its recent bullish move and Sector Funds are at the top of the Rankings.  If you subscribe to the Newsletter, we're now seeing a bit of a drop in bond funds - which is is a reversal from last week. Remember that even though a Fund is ranked in the Top 5, if it is colored red it is in a downtrend. Green coloring indicates positive rate of change over the past period, and red indicates negative rate of change. For the full list of funds that are ranked see our Funds listing.

Selected Fidelity Funds Rankings

Top Ranked Fidelity Funds for May 12, 2013

Selected Vanguard ETF Rankings

Top Ranked Vanguard ETFs for May 12, 2013

Selected Schwab & Profunds Funds Rankings

Top Ranked Schwab & Profunds Funds for May 12, 2013

Retirement Strategy Update 20130512

With the SP-500 rising another 1.19% for the week, sector funds remain strong, and the bond funds are clearly dropping out of favor at this time.

Have you already subscribed to our newsletter? You can subscribe here if you wish.

One thing I've focused on is developing a strategy for my retirement funds. Ever since pulling my funds out of the market in late 2008, like many others I hesitatedt to reinvest - at least not without a plan. Two books that influenced my plans are The Ivy Portfolio and How a Second Grader Beats Wall Street. In general both of these books profess the use of broad index funds versus individual stock picking. The Ivy Portfolio adds a mechanism for market timing, such as the 10 month moving average and adjusting monthly. Dshort provides updates on The Ivy Portfolio strategy each month.

Below is a summary of retirement funds considered by mybestfunds.com with three different market timing strategies indicated: the average slope of the Guppy Slow moving averages, the CCI(53), and the 200 day simple moving average.

Retirement Strategy Update for May 12, 2013